How long will you have patience to meet new people, form new relationships and find new interests in the offline world?
And why do you keep all these obscure wrenches in your garage when you could use a hammer for everything?
I don't think we'll be seeing convergence soon. Facebook & MySpace might continue to draw more and more people, but they are, by definition, general purpose - niche services will continue to attract those people who are into that specific niche. Ning is a wonderful way to create a quick & dirty small social network - but it's more about creating lots of mostly separate islands easily than about convergence. Yes, moving between social networks is a pain, and a lot of us are feeling the social networks fatigue. But upcoming standards like OpenID, FOAF & XFN, and established ones like RSS, are easing the pain of moving between different social networks. And there is a lot of grassroots thinking about which other standards are needed to let you move with ease between serviced.
You don't have to keep track with all of them though. As you move to a new social network, leave some of the old ones behind you :) Natural selection is working here too.
But, no matter what network I am on, I promise to always add you as a contact :)