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Will melting permafrost overwhelm any cuts we make?

Will emissions from melting methane hydrate (and decaying permafrost) overwhelm any cuts in emissions we make?

Background:

A frozen peat bog in western Siberia the size of France and Germany put together contains about 500 billion tons of carbon. Western Siberia has warmed faster than almost anywhere else on the Earth, with an increase in average temperature of about 3C in the last 40 years.

Even more Siberian permafrost is under the ocean, an area six times the size of Germany containing about 540 billion tons of carbon. That submarine permafrost is perilously close to thawing. Three to 12 kilometers from the coast the sea sediment is just below freezing. The permafrost has grown porous, there is a loss of rigor in the frozen sea floor, and the surrounding seawater is highly oversaturated with solute methane.

"...Researchers were investigating "alarming" reports in the last few days of the release of methane from long frozen Arctic waters, possibly from the warming of the sea" --"Arctic sea ice drops to 2nd lowest level on record," AP, 27 Aug '08

"If the Siberian (submarine) permafrost-seal thaws completely and all the stored gas escapes, the methane content of the planet's atmosphere would increase twelve fold. The result would be catastrophic global warming." --"A Storehouse of Greenhouse Gases Is Opening in Siberia," Spiegel, 17 April '08


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I believe NO.  There is no way that emission cuts alone could balance a twelve fold increase, especially when mining companies and News Stations are still broadcasting that Global Warming is not real science,  "COAL, it turns on the Lights", "YES, Coal, clean, affordable, carbon neutral coal" and people are buuing electric cars and plugging them into coal produced electricity.

There have to be other ways. Maybe everybody needs to breathe more slowly, relax, and meditate on the solution we could buy some time and come up with something grounded in the Divine. Like EVERYTHING we do has to change. hmm

I really recommend getting our garden seeds and thinking about water purification and water source protection, education about our personal basic requirements and coming to terms with what we are doing to fulfill them, and what impact every little thing we are doing is having on the rest of us, on ourselves in the long run, and on the other life forms on this planet.  We need to wake up from this coma, because this artificial life support system is going to collapse.

AS for me, I am planting more trees, more plants, mushrooms and I'm using organic viable seed producing specimens so I have my own mini seed bank.  I'm off grid, and I drive as little as possible.  I try to always turn off most power during peak hours where ever I am and prefer to be outdooors.

 

Posted 2008-09-18T08:27:25Z
asaraink was invited by Yedda to answer this question.

 

I believe if it is accepted that a carbon diet strategy is unfeasible (and very expensive), then we can proceed to a scheme that is viable. 

There is a very inexpensive simple way to immediately cool the Earth: just put a small amount of aerosol into the air to dim the sun. We won't be able to stop rapid ecosystem collapse without geoengineering. Soon melting permafrost will overwhelm any cuts we make to our emissions.

"The alternative (to geoengineering) is the acceptance of a massive natural cull of humanity and a return to an Earth that freely regulates itself but in the hot state." --Dr James Lovelock, August 2008

Posted 2008-09-19T04:28:22Z

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