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Value of the dollar

Why is the value of the dollar in other countries going down?


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Here are some of the factors that determine the value of a dollar.

  • Lower interest rates in home country than abroad
  • Higher rates of inflation
  • A domestic trade deficit relative to other countries
  • A consistent government surplus
  • Relative political/military stability in other countries
  • A collapsing domestic financial market
  • Weak domestic economy/stronger foreign economies
  • Frequent or recent default on government debt
  • Monetary policy that frequently changes objectives.

Many sectors of the U.S. economy were borrowing heavily during this period. Government, corporations, and individuals were relying on credit. This created strong demand for money to lend to borrowers. Typically, money saved by consumers is used to help meet such demand. Unfortunately, savings rates in the U.S. were low. Consequently, the money for U.S. borrowing had to come from somewhere. Funds from abroad helped to meet the demand. This rise in demand increased the price of dollars relative to other currencies. This, in turn, made it more attractive for investors to hold dollars.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve kept inflation under control. This made the dollar attractive because of its stability. These trends combined to raise the cost of the dollar for foreign investors. The relatively high rates of return in U.S. financial markets enabled investors to earn better profits than could be found in their own financial markets. The increased demand for U.S. investments helped to make the dollar stronger. In addition to attractive rates, foreigners were eager to invest in the United States because this country was, and still is, seen as a comparatively stable, safe haven where investments are secure.

http://www.chicagofed.org/consumer_information/strong_dollar_weak_dollar.cfm

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Hi, in an Aug. 8, 2007 article by Jessic Hupp of www.currencytrading.net She explains 50 factors that affect the value of the US. Dollar under these subheadings:  Balance of Trade and Investment, Politics, Other Countries, Entitlements, Economic Theories, Interest Rates, the American Consumers, Housing, Industrial and Economical Indicators, U.S. Capital Markets, The Economy, Weather, and Inflation.  An except from the article regarding the dollar in other countries is as follows: 

Other countries

Political impact on the dollar does not originate entirely from the US; it can come from all over the world. Trade, conflict, consumption, and other issues can affect the dollar from outside our country.

  1. Turmoil in other countries: When other countries are in a state of conflict, their respective currencies may be perceived as unstable. In this case, investors may flock to the dollar because it is considered a safer bet.
  2. Stability in other countries: On the other hand, if other countries are consistent in their policy-making as well as politically and economically stable, the dollar may weaken because investors have more confidence in these alternative currencies. They’ll see them as less risky and diversify into non-dollar denominated assets.
  3. A change in foreign reserves: The USD benefits strongly from being the world’s reserve currency. Most central banks hold more dollars than any other currency, but the dollar faces problems when they decide to diversify their currency investments. This could mean that they sell dollars, or simply just stop buying more. This is especially damaging when a large purchaser like China decides to stop adding to its foreign reserves.
  4. A strengthening Euro: The dollar faces competition from the rising Euro. It’s an attractive alternative to the dollar when investors choose to diversify or if the dollar becomes unstable.
  5. Acceptance of oil in dollars: As long as the majority of world oil contracts are settled in USD, other countries have to use the currency. This increases demand for the dollar and therefore, its value. Additionally, most oil exporters hold a significant portion of their oil proceeds in dollars.
  6. Strong foreign economies: If other countries’ economies are booming, the dollar may fall because it will become a relatively less attractive place to invest.

 

For the entire artlicle read this.
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