Clinton still has a chance. Here are the current delegates counts.
Obama leads in delegates, 1,566-to-1,462, and Clinton maintains a 242-to-207 edge in superdelegates, the latest AP survey found. The undecided superdelegates are poised to play a decisive role.
After Tuesday’s results (with about a dozen delegates still in doubt), Obama was calculated by AP to have a 1,566 to 1,462 lead over Clinton. That’s impressive, but not conclusive — especially when you remember that you need 2,025 delegates to win the nomination.
The remaining contests will only decide 611 more delegates. If they were divided up proportionally based on current share, Obama would still not have enough votes to clinch the nomination. That means Democrats could very likely enter the national convention in September with no certainty about who will prevail. Both sides will fiercely contest for the superdelegates, and the lead may in fact switch back and forth.
Ultimately the “lost states” of Michigan and Florida could come back into play as well. Both of these large population states were shut out of the delegate process because they violated party rules on the timing of their elections. Residents of those states are now arguing that somehow their votes must count. Lawsuits are almost certain, and the outcome is anything but.